4.6 • 13.2K Ratings
🗓️ 3 January 2025
⏱️ 16 minutes
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0:00.0 | The email I get most is from young men looking for guidance and mothers looking for guidance |
0:08.1 | for their sons. |
0:09.5 | The second most frequent email is the following. |
0:13.4 | Is it too late to invest in invidia? |
0:16.4 | And the honest answer is I don't know. |
0:17.8 | I can imagine a scenario where it gets cut by 80 percent. |
0:20.6 | I can imagine a scenario where it tri cut by 80%. I can imagine a scenario |
0:22.0 | where it triples. So this is what you do. You invest in SPY because about 20% on the dollar will go |
0:28.6 | into the magnificent seven because they're about 20% of the market cap of the S&P. SPY is, again, |
0:34.3 | a basket of different stocks. It's a index fund that mimics the S&P. So there are 500 |
0:40.0 | companies in the S&P. Invidia is probably three or five percent of the total value of the S&P. So |
0:45.4 | five cents on your dollar goes into invidia, right? About 20 percent, is that right, 24, 25 percent, |
0:51.8 | is the magnificent seven, the tech companies we talk about. |
0:55.4 | 25 cents on your dollar will go to them. |
0:57.9 | So assume those companies double. |
1:00.5 | Great, you participate. |
1:01.9 | But assume the other 493 companies finally get their time in the sun and those companies go down a half. |
1:07.2 | You're still fine. |
1:08.6 | You're still fine. |
1:09.7 | Again, you don't need to find the needle in the haystack |
1:12.1 | and stop believing in a very American way that you can figure it out. I know the brightest |
1:16.6 | people in finance. And my net conclusion is that none of them have any fucking idea. |
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