4.4 • 7 Ratings
🗓️ 14 December 2017
⏱️ 15 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome to Sharp Talk, the regular podcast of E Sharp Magazine. Go to eSharp.E.sharp. EU for free access to all the podcasts to date. This is Paul Adamson and I'm in conversation with Charles Rees. Charles Rees is a vice-person of International of Iran Corporation. |
0:22.6 | Charlie, full disclosure at the beginning, I'm as you know, a member of the Council of Advisors of Rand Europe, |
0:29.6 | so people need to know that before we start. |
0:31.6 | Rand has just published a study called After Brexit, Alternate Forms of Brexit and their implications for the United Kingdom, the European Union, and the United States. |
0:41.3 | So first things first, Charlie, why did you do this research? |
0:44.3 | Well, after the referendum in the summer of 2016, we were sitting around. |
0:50.3 | We have an annual competition in which RAND has a limited pot of money of its own money that it uses to support research where we don't have a sponsor. |
0:59.7 | And I and some of my colleagues thought that this is the most consequential economic development for many decades in that the UK is proposing to leave the EU. |
1:11.6 | And we thought it merited some objective analysis, |
1:15.6 | and particularly given the fact that there has been a lot of analysis of it before, |
1:20.6 | economic analysis of the idea of leaving the EU before the referendum, |
1:26.6 | that after the referendum, when the sort of the |
1:30.3 | range of ways in which the UK could structure its relationships with the EU and the rest of the |
1:38.3 | world might be a good time to look at this in a systematic way. Also, we thought we could do an objective |
1:45.8 | job and we could look at the Brexit options also factoring in the United States. |
1:51.5 | Well, it could we briefly go through the scenarios you sketched out, starting with the WT option? |
1:56.3 | Yeah, we decided that we were assuming that the United Kingdom leaves the EU. |
2:05.9 | So we weren't comparing things to continued membership. |
2:10.5 | Decision had been made. |
2:11.7 | We weren't seeking to relitigate that. |
2:14.8 | So we made the base case, basically a no-deal case. That is to say, the UK |
2:20.9 | trades with the EU and the United States and everyone else on the basis of WTO rules. This is simply |
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