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The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri

10 NFL Bets You Must Take For Wild Card Weekend (Before It's Too late)

The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri

Sal Vetri

Fantasy Sports, Sports

5774 Ratings

🗓️ 8 January 2025

⏱️ 13 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Get your free $50 bet here: https://prizepicks.onelink.me/ivHR/SAL23


10 NFL Bets You Must Take For Wild Card Weekend (Before It's Too late)


(Data source credits: Fantasy Life - Player Profiler - PFF)

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

The fantasy football season might be over, but it's the best time of the year for betting on the

0:04.5

NFL. Because it's the NFL playoffs, and in this video, we're breaking down the 10 best

0:08.4

bets you need to know for this weekend's wildcard games. And we'll start with AJ Brown,

0:12.9

the Eagles number one wide receiver, who appears to be fully healthy right now, and I'm looking

0:16.4

at this prop right here. His receptions prop of five and a half and I have currently taken the over

0:21.0

on this. Now, a couple of things. Jaylen Hertz has not played the last couple of games, but so

0:24.9

far this season, if we go through the game logs of A.J. Brown, his receptions, you can see here

0:29.4

he started strong with five plus catches in all four games to start the year. We can scroll

0:33.8

down on player profiler. You can just see a bunch of games where he has five catches, six catches, lately

0:38.4

eight catches, and then three catches in a game where Jalen Hertz wasn't there.

0:41.6

But if we look at this, in 10 out of 12 games this year, when Jalen Hertz is active,

0:45.9

Brown has at least five catches.

0:47.6

And now this week he's taking on the Green Bay Packers, which is important because he's

0:50.8

going to be at home, so that's good. And the Packers play the second highest rate this year of zone coverage. They love playing zone coverage, and A.J. Brown

0:58.2

loves dominating zone coverage. Brown ranks second in the NFL at beating zone coverage

1:03.0

this season. So that is why I've taken the over five and a half receptions on Brown. Now let's

1:07.1

slide into our next play, and we're going to stay in this game. We're going to go to the Green Bay Packers side of the ball, a very good game on Sunday afternoon, and it's going to be

1:13.6

Josh Jacobs, and here's the prop I'm looking at for him. I'm looking at Jacobs receiving yards prop of

1:18.0

20 and a half yards, and I've taken the over on who does have a good run defense. So just in general, as an underdog against a good run defense,

1:31.0

you're probably going to throw a little bit more than average, which should help your running

1:34.0

back, maybe get some more checkdown targets. And Philadelphia does play the highest rate in the NFL

1:38.5

of the combination of cover four zone defense and cover six defense. Running backs against similar coverages this year, average 27

...

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