meta_pixel
Tapesearch Logo
Freakonomics Radio

606. How to Predict the Presidency

Freakonomics Radio

Freakonomics Radio + Stitcher

Documentary, Society & Culture

4.632K Ratings

🗓️ 11 October 2024

⏱️ 56 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Are betting markets more accurate than polls? What kind of chaos would a second Trump term bring? And is U.S. democracy really in danger, or just “sputtering on”? (Part two of a two-part series.)

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

In our previous episode, we had a wide-ranging conversation about presidential

0:07.8

history and presidential power with the University of Chicago legal scholar Eric Posner.

0:13.3

The founders could not possibly have imagined

0:16.3

that the president would become as powerful as he has.

0:19.4

And we wondered, is the US presidency turning into something like a dictatorship?

0:24.4

Yes I think that is happening although you know dictatorship is such a freighted term.

0:30.0

But that conversation with Posner was recorded in 2016 a couple months before Donald Trump was elected president.

0:37.0

Trump is of course now running again against Vice President Kamala Harris.

0:41.0

So today on Freckin economics radio we go back to

0:44.3

Eric Posner to talk about what's happened over the past eight years and what the

0:48.0

future may bring. I think it's actually pretty hard to be a dictator. You have to be kind

0:52.2

of smart, you have to be tough, you have to be brave.

0:57.0

Also, have you lost faith in election polls? If so, how would you feel about an election betting market?

1:04.0

A market doesn't delay information, a market doesn't spin numbers, a market just gives you numbers.

1:12.1

This is our election special, not what you are likely to hear elsewhere,

1:15.8

and it starts now. This is Freakanomics Radio, the podcast that explores the hidden side of everything with your host Stephen Dubner. The University of Chicago Law Professor Eric Posner has written more than a dozen books on topics ranging from antitrust regulation to human rights to the US Constitution.

1:55.0

As I mentioned earlier, we interviewed him eight years ago,

1:58.0

eight long years ago, about the evolution of presidential power.

2:03.0

I listened to the interview this morning and I will say that I have changed my views

2:09.0

about the presidency to some extent because I do think Trump was a shock and not the sort of person I

2:16.1

expected to become a president at the time that I did a lot of my earlier writing

2:21.2

on presidential powers which tended to be more optimistic

...

Transcript will be available on the free plan in -172 days. Upgrade to see the full transcript now.

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Freakonomics Radio + Stitcher, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of Freakonomics Radio + Stitcher and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.

Copyright © Tapesearch 2025.