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TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast

#606: The Ratio That Signals Every Crash with Michael Howell

TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast

Marty Bent

Technology

4.8764 Ratings

🗓️ 14 April 2025

⏱️ 57 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Marty sits down with Michael Howell to discuss the incoming liquidity crisis.


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0:00 - Intro

0:36 - Is liquidity crunch incoming

6:13 - Explaining the crisis

16:12 - Fold & Coinkite

17:49 - The Fed’s ineffective measures

20:39 - Powell/Trump standoff and China selling

28:13 - Unchained Evernt

29:37 - Digging out with better assets

34:44 - Bessent's reset & BitBonds

39:56 - Weimar & gold

45:21 - Cutting red tape

49:53 - Clear skies beyond the storm


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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

You've had a dynamic where money has become freer than free.

0:10.0

If you talk about a Fed just gone nuts, all the central banks going nuts.

0:16.0

So it's all acting like safe haven.

0:18.0

I believe that in a world where central bankers are tripping over themselves to devalue their

0:23.5

currency, Bitcoin wins.

0:25.3

In the world of fiat currencies, Bitcoin is the victor.

0:29.2

I mean, that's part of the bold case for Bitcoin.

0:31.8

If you're not paying attention, you probably should be.

0:36.2

Michael Howell, welcome to the show.

0:38.3

Hi, Mone. Good to be here. Lots going on, I think.

0:41.3

Lots going on. Like I was mentioning before we hit record, I think the timing is perfect.

0:45.3

I've reached out to you after watching your interview with Jack Farley on the Monetary Matters podcast exactly a month ago.

0:53.3

And at the time, you two were discussing liquidity challenges

0:57.8

in the market that you were foreseeing that began in Q4 of last year. And obviously, a lot of

1:05.3

has happened since then, most particularly in the last eight days with the Liberation Day.

1:11.9

Rose Garden speech with tariffs, we've seen disruptions in the bond market with bond yield

1:17.2

screaming Tuesday night.

1:18.8

Many people wondering if that was people engaged in a basis trade getting offside.

1:25.6

And I think that's the big question right now, is, are we on the precipice of

1:30.9

a big liquidity crunch that is going to force the hands of these governments and central banks?

1:36.1

I think the short answer is in the very short term, no. But I think in the longer term,

1:41.8

there are clearly big issues that we've got to face.

...

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