4.6 • 32K Ratings
🗓️ 24 January 2025
⏱️ 52 minutes
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0:00.0 | There's an old saying that I'm sure you've heard, imitation is the sincerest form of flattery. |
0:11.1 | But imitation can easily tip into forgery. In the art world, there have been many talented foragers |
0:18.2 | over the years. The Dutch painter Han von Mageren, a master forgeron of the 20th century, was so good that his paintings were certified and sold, often to Nazis, as works by Johann Vermeer, a 17th century Dutch master. Now there is a new kind of art forgery happening, and the perpetrators are machines. |
0:42.8 | I recently got back from San Francisco, the epicenter of the artificial intelligence boom. I was out |
0:49.7 | there to do a live show, which you may have heard in our feed, and also to attend the annual |
0:55.5 | American Economic Association conference. Everywhere you go in San Francisco, there are |
1:00.9 | billboards for AI companies. The conference itself was similarly blanketed. There were sessions |
1:07.0 | called economic implications of AI, artificial intelligence and finance, and large |
1:14.1 | language models and generative AI. The economist Eric Brinjolfson is one of the leading |
1:20.1 | scholars in this realm, and we borrowed him for our live show to hear his views on AI. |
1:26.7 | The idea is that, you know, AI is doing these amazing things, but we want to do it in |
1:30.5 | service of humans and make sure that we keep humans at the center of all of that. |
1:35.2 | The day after Brynjolfson came on our show, I attended one of his talks at the conference. |
1:40.6 | It was called Will AI Save Us or Destroy Us? |
1:47.2 | He cited a book by the Oxford computer scientist Michael Woldridge called A Brief History of Artificial Intelligence. Brinjolfson read from |
1:52.8 | a list of problems that Woldridge said AI was nowhere near solving. Here are a few of them. |
1:59.3 | Understanding a story and answering questions about it, human-level |
2:03.6 | automated translation, interpreting what is going on in a photograph. As Bern-Yolfson is reading |
2:10.3 | this list from the lectern, you're thinking, wait a minute, AI has solved all those problems, |
2:16.3 | hasn't it? And that's when Brinjolfson gets to his |
2:18.9 | punchline. The Wildridge book was published way back in 2021. The pace of AI's advance has been |
2:28.1 | astonishing, and some people expect it to supercharge our economy. The Congressional Budget Office has estimated economic growth over the current decade of around 1.5% a year. |
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