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RickRunGood | Golf Data and Betting Insights

Arnold Palmer Invitational | Betting Preview 2020 - Outrights, Longshots & First Round Leader

RickRunGood | Golf Data and Betting Insights

Rick Gehman

Golf, Business, Entrepreneurship, Sports, Fantasy Sports

4.8687 Ratings

🗓️ 4 March 2020

⏱️ 19 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The new "Tournament Predictor" tool is now live! Find out who to bet for this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational.Stats: http://www.dfsondemand.com/My Twitter: https://twitter.com/RickRunGood My Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/rickgehman/Audio Podcast: http://bit.ly/2LNwco2iTunes: https://apple.co/2LDxLVySpotify: https://spoti.fi/2YF3rm4Stitcher: http://bit.ly/2LDxNwE#Golf #FantasyGolf #PGATour #ArnoldPalmerInvitationalContest Selection: https://youtu.be/OMZyDh1Rm-MAll RickRunGood (DF...

Transcript

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0:00.0

what's up guys rick from dfs on demand here with your betting preview for this week's

0:09.9

arnold palmer invitational um i don't know let's jump right into it i don't have anything

0:15.5

else to say let's go all right so for those of you who are new to the channel uh what I have here on DFS On Demand.com is what I call a tournament simulator, which is taking the range of outcomes for every single golfer.

0:32.3

So how often they can get to their ceiling or what their ceiling is, what their floor is,

0:38.0

and determining how often they are going to get to, quote, unquote, the winning score.

0:44.0

And then we compare that against the implied odds on Vegas,

0:47.9

and we see if there are any values in the outright market.

0:52.2

Certainly not an exact science, and you can adjust the date ranges and stuff like that,

0:56.6

but I do think it is super handy.

0:58.3

So here's what we're going to do.

1:00.6

I'm going to go to this historic strokes gained tool on DFS on demand, and we're going

1:06.7

to look to see basically, I shouldn't say the winning score. How many strokes gained one in previous year?

1:13.9

So in 2019, Francesco Molinari won this event.

1:16.8

He gained 13.2 strokes on the field.

1:19.8

Now, he won by two shots.

1:21.4

So Matthew Fitzpatrick and second finished at 11.29 strokes gained.

1:26.7

So really, 12 would have won it in theory.

1:30.2

In 2018, Rory kind of ran away with this.

1:35.3

It was a three-shot lead.

1:36.2

He gained almost 18 strokes.

1:38.4

And then Bryson was behind him at just a hair under 15.

1:41.8

And then rose behind him at a hair under 14.

...

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