4.4 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 4 June 2024
⏱️ 21 minutes
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0:00.0 | In a rare move, the European Central Bank is widely expected to begin cutting its policy rate this week, |
0:06.5 | at the same time that the Fed is expected to remain on hold at its upcoming meeting. |
0:11.5 | So how far could Central Bank divergence run? |
0:14.0 | The US is a huge impact on the global financial cycle, |
0:18.0 | but the US is not independent also of what the others are doing. |
0:22.0 | So there are spillovers in financial conditions to the other countries, |
0:26.4 | but they also spill backs. |
0:28.0 | I'm Allison Nathan and this is Goldman Sachs exchanges. |
0:45.2 | Every month I speak with investors, policymakers and academics about the most pressing market moving issues for our top of my report from Goldman Sachs research. |
0:48.4 | In the most recent report, I looked at Central Bank Divergence. |
0:52.0 | The Fed typically leads a relatively synchronized monetary policy cycle |
0:56.2 | across the major economies. |
0:58.2 | But the cycle seems to be shaping up somewhat differently this time. |
1:01.3 | So why is that and what are the implications for economies |
1:04.1 | and markets? I spoke to three of the world's top economic minds. |
1:08.0 | Jan Hatzius, our chief global economist here at Goldman Sachs, Peter Pratt, the |
1:12.2 | former chief economist of the European Central Bank, |
1:15.3 | and Maurice Oppsfeld, the former chief economist of the IMF. |
1:19.2 | Jan started us off with a useful snapshot of how economies around the world are faring and how |
1:24.3 | Central Banks are responding. How unusual is it for the Fed to not lead the cycle and |
1:30.8 | what's really informing our view in terms of the starting points. |
1:36.4 | The idea of having flexible exchange rates and |
... |
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