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Michael Covel's Trend Following

Ep. 1331: Moritz Seibert Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

Michael Covel

Investing, Business

4.6730 Ratings

🗓️ 24 March 2025

⏱️ 50 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

My guest today is Moritz Seibert, Founder & CEO at Takahē Capital, a systematic investment manager targeting absolute returns through resilient trading strategies. He is also the former CEO/CIO at Munich Re Investment Partners, and the co-host at Top Traders Unplugged. He is an experienced quant trader across equities, commodities, bonds, FX, digital assets, and liquid alternatives. 

The topic is Trend Following.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Changes in Trend Following strategies
  • Risk management and volatility
  • Changing appetites of different generations of investors
  • Performance-based v. management-fee-based models

Jump in!

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I’m MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I’m proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

To start? I’d like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

Can’t get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

My social media platforms:
Twitter: @covel
Facebook: @trendfollowing
LinkedIn: @covel
Instagram: @mikecovel

Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

My guest today, Moritz-Sebert founder, CEO, Taka-A-Ha-Ha-Ka-Katel.

0:05.8

Guess what we're talking?

0:07.7

Trend following, ladies and gentlemen, a topic that I enjoy, a topic that Moritz enjoys.

0:15.6

Without any further delay, let's jump right into it.

0:19.5

I hope you enjoy.

0:34.7

Music further delayed. Let's jump right into it. I hope you enjoy. In this trend following world, this world that I exist in, this world that you exist in,

0:40.0

we all kind of learned who the legends were, the market wizard's books, many of the people that were in my books,

0:46.8

people like John W. Henry, Bill Dunn, that were not of the market wizards books.

0:51.2

But you know, these guys were all swinging for the fences, making big money

0:57.3

when the opportunities came, when the trends appear in markets they can never predict. But the

1:02.1

strategy was predicated on something big. You couldn't predict what's going to happen. Didn't

1:08.5

know the timing. And some particular trends started to happen, you had to

1:12.6

take advantage of it. And I say this with no disrespect. More power to you for all the businesses

1:17.7

that have gathered significant assets under the trend following umbrella. But we're at a crossroads,

1:24.7

in my opinion. We've got all the legendary foundation, but in this new world,

1:30.4

people are shooting for a different style of return. And when you shoot for a different style

1:34.9

of return, aren't you not changing the strategy? Not taking any risks in life is the biggest

1:40.2

risk that you can take. As silly as that may sound, but when the CTA industry,

1:44.2

and I'm too young to go back to the starts of that industry, looking at the data, which

1:49.6

doesn't lie, when the CTA industry started with Dunn and Bill Dreis was trading, they were

1:53.5

all trading at 25 to 30, 35 percent volatility. This was kind of the norm. The earlier CTA Dave Drews, I've mentioned Dunn, I've

2:03.9

mentioned Drice, they were all at that kind of level. To me, that makes sense because you're

...

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