Ep. 377 - How DO NFL DFS Sims Work, Handbuilders Can Still Win In 2024 & Exploiting Bad Drafters On Underdog w/ Brian Hooper

The Taekcast

Davis Mattek

News, Fantasy Sports, Sports, Sports News

4.9 • 808 Ratings

🗓️ 9 October 2024

⏱️ 65 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Brian Hooper to discuss how sims are changing the NFL DFS landscape, what sims actually do, issues with the public facing sim products and how the field is missing the trick with Underdog Battle Royale contests 00:00 Intro 1:00 State Of The Nation For DFS Sims 3:15 What Are Sims Saying Is +EV This Year 5:50 What Actually Happens Inside Of A DFS Sim 7:30 Issues With Overcorrelations In Sims 11:20 Fragility In Projecting The Field In DFS 14:00 Knowing Ball Vs Knowing Nerd 19:30 Can You Still Win In DFS With A Solver 20:15 Input Volatility (How Do DFS Projections Work) 26:01 Changing Inputs In DFS Projections And How That Effects Sims 31:00 Why DFS Sims Want You To Always Play The Chalk 35:00 How A Handbuilder Should Play DFS In 2024 41:00 Can Sims Tell You When To Swap In DFS? 46:00 Is Battle Royale On Underdog The Last Beatable Daily Fantasy Sports Game? 52:00 God Knowledge Projection For Fantasy Sports 56:30 Anchoring Bias Of DFS Salary Vs Best Ball ADP Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:30.3	Hello everyone and welcome to another episode of the Tatecast.
0:33.4	My name is Davis-Matic.
0:34.4	You guys can find me on Twitter at Davis-Matic.
0:36.6	In this episode of the show, I am joined by Brian Hooper.
0:39.2	Normally we do these overpaid Patreon feed, but this is a main feed-take-cast episode
0:44.3	where we talk about some of the issues with public-facing DFS Sims, how Sims actually work,
0:51.1	and then how people are generally making some errors in battle reall and how
0:58.4	those are exploitable.
1:00.5	If you guys like this show, please consider subscribing to us on YouTube.
1:05.6	Please consider signing up for bonus episodes of the show or for the premium Patreon or leave a rating
1:12.0	a review on iTunes or wherever you listen to podcasts. Let's go ahead and get into the show.
1:17.0	Hello everyone and welcome in to another episode of the Takecast, Davis Maddock with you here,
1:21.4	joined by Brian Hooper. Normally these episodes are on the Patreon feed, but as you guys might
1:27.3	have noticed, kind of, it was a
1:28.8	Brian bit ambitious to think that we could crank out a two-hour podcast in the middle of doing
1:35.0	all of the fantasy football content over on the paid feed. Obviously, those will return. We owe the
	...

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