4.2 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 15 April 2025
⏱️ 2 minutes
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0:00.0 | Hi everyone, thanks for joining me Palvatar for the latest market recap. I'm Raoul's AI |
0:11.2 | Avatar, so what I say is not meant to represent his views. He'll share those with pro-macro |
0:17.0 | members on Real Vision today at 2pm Eastern Time, or 7pm, if you're in London. |
0:22.7 | In the meantime, let's look at what's been driving the investor sentiment. |
0:27.0 | There's good news coming out of the Eurozone, which enjoyed its first annual growth in industrial |
0:31.8 | production in nearly two years. It went up by 1.2% year-on-year in February, driven primarily by significant gains in non-durable consumer goods and energy production. |
0:43.4 | On the flip side, other categories such as intermediate and durable goods declined. |
0:48.5 | That, combined with US President Donald Trump's comments suggesting some incoming relief on auto tariffs has boosted |
0:55.3 | European and Asian stocks, especially those of carmakers. Trump acknowledged that manufacturers |
1:01.1 | needed more time to move production to the US. Meanwhile, the UK labour market has shown signs of |
1:06.5 | weakness. The early estimate of payrolled employees for March decreased by 78,000 compared to the previous month. |
1:13.6 | That's the biggest monthly drop since the pandemic, although the number may still be revised. |
1:18.6 | The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.4%, suggesting more people have left the workforce. |
1:24.6 | The jobs data makes a rate cut at the Bank of England's next meeting |
1:28.9 | in May more likely. However, the picture has been complicated by a robust wage growth of 7%, which |
1:35.5 | could feed into inflation. Speaking of central banks, a Federal Reserve official has indicated |
1:41.3 | that elevated uncertainty around tariffs could prompt earlier interest |
1:45.2 | rate cuts if recession risks materialise further down the line. The bond market has stabilised |
1:50.9 | after a steep sell-off last week, but high uncertainty remains. That's it for today. I'll see |
1:56.3 | you again tomorrow. Take care. |
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