4.8 • 687 Ratings
🗓️ 12 February 2020
⏱️ 20 minutes
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0:00.0 | what's up guys rick from dfs on demand here with your betting preview for this week's |
0:10.0 | genesis invitational uh stacked field a lot of great players here so i'm really interested to see |
0:17.5 | how the quote unquote tournament predictor that is the new tool that I've pushed to DFS on |
0:23.1 | demand that I've been talking about and I've been showing over the course of the last couple weeks, |
0:26.9 | interested to see how it deals with this and all of these guys. |
0:31.6 | Also, we'll show the head-to-head betting matchups tool and then we'll kind of just talk about |
0:36.8 | like maybe some some |
0:37.5 | gut feels or something like that so um let's jump into this and go straight to the tournament |
0:45.1 | predictor so this is the tool that i reference all the time this is what i think is a |
0:52.3 | really good place to start. |
0:54.8 | I don't like I'm not following this tool, you know, like scripture or anything like that, right? |
1:01.4 | I mean, it is just a really good starting point to see which golfers are physically capable of getting to the winning score. |
1:10.7 | And right now I have the winning score set to be about |
1:13.4 | 15 strokes gained on the field. Historically, that's a pretty good number. For a lot of tournaments, |
1:19.1 | actually. So that is the route that I'm going here. And as you can see, there's some pretty good |
1:26.9 | value up top. |
1:28.1 | I'm currently using the longest time frame. |
1:31.2 | So I'm going all the way back to October of 2016 for Strokes-Yain, meaning it's using 39 starts for Rory, 56 for JT, because that's how many measured tournaments they've played in that span. |
1:42.1 | So off the bat, you know, we look at this and |
1:44.9 | Rory McElroy, you know, I still have him winning or getting to the winning score nearly |
1:51.1 | 5.5% of the time. Unfortunately, being 8 to 1 or as short as he is, that implies he's going to have to |
1:57.9 | win this about 11.7% of the time, which is not enough. |
... |
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