4.6 • 918 Ratings
🗓️ 3 November 2024
⏱️ 58 minutes
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0:00.0 | We have late breaking news. |
0:04.2 | A brand new Des Moines Register Mediacom poll shows Kamala Harris beating Donald Trump in the reliably red state of Iowa. |
0:16.0 | This is an A-plus state-of-the-art poll, one of the most reliable in America, especially since Iowa's |
0:22.7 | caucus is the first in the nation. So it's heavily monitored and heavily polled, and the Des Moines |
0:29.4 | Register knows exactly what it's doing. I'll have more on the polls later in the show. I just |
0:36.3 | want to remind you that I've always said this race would reveal itself 48 hours |
0:42.4 | before Election Day. |
0:44.6 | I also said that once Harris feels she's locked up Pennsylvania, she would take the fight |
0:49.9 | to Florida and then Iowa. |
0:52.7 | If you go back and listen, I said her best chances of adding to the Biden map, |
0:59.0 | after North Carolina would be Florida, then Iowa, then either Texas or Indiana. |
1:08.1 | Harris has not been able to expand the map with the race this close in Pennsylvania, |
1:16.8 | supposedly this close in Pennsylvania. So why Iowa? What's going on? Iowa is Obama country. |
1:27.1 | He always said he owes it all to Iowa. And both his campaigns |
1:33.0 | in 2008 and 2012 ended in Iowa. His last speech was given in Iowa in 2008 and 2012 as a sign of respect and thanks. |
1:48.0 | So there might be some Obama magic at play here. |
1:53.5 | But more importantly, this Iowa poll could be revealing untold riches in Kamala Harris's electoral map. |
2:05.2 | One thing is for certain this race is breaking for her. |
2:10.8 | There's no question in the lead up to the weekend. |
2:14.4 | We kept hearing the race was tightening, but it's not. Most of the pollsters are hedging their bets by doing something called herding. |
2:24.9 | Nate Silver wrote about this on his substack, and I'll talk about hurting later on on the show. |
2:31.8 | The pollsters are terrified of being wrong, so they're playing it safe |
... |
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