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Goldman Sachs Exchanges

How to find alpha: Bridgewater Associates' Co-CIO Karen Karniol-Tambour

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Goldman Sachs

Business

4.41K Ratings

🗓️ 10 October 2024

⏱️ 49 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Bridgewater Associates’ Co-CIO Karen Karniol-Tambour describes where she’s seeing opportunities for higher returns and the macro factors shaping today’s investment landscape. To hear from more Great Investors, check out: Sequoia Capital’s Roelof Botha on building enduring businesses, Blackstone’s Joe Baratta on the outlook for private equity, and TPG’s Jon Winkelried on the evolution of alternative markets.  The opinions and views expressed in this program may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. This program should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned in this program is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only, and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs. The content of this program does not constitute a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to the recipient, and is provided for informational purposes only. Goldman Sachs is not providing any financial, economic, legal, investment, accounting, or tax advice through this program or to its recipient. Certain information contained in this program constitutes “forward-looking statements”, and there is no guarantee that these results will be achieved. Goldman Sachs has no obligation to provide updates or changes to the information in this program. Past performance does not guarantee future results, which may vary. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or any information contained in this program and any liability therefore; including in respect of direct, indirect, or consequential loss or damage is expressly disclaimed. Important Disclosures

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome back to another episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges, great investors.

0:08.0

I'm your host Tony Pasquarello, global head of hedge fund coverage for our global banking and markets business and today I'm thrilled to be joined by my friend Karen

0:16.0

Carnil Tambor who is co-chief investment officer at Bridgewater Associates the world's largest

0:21.0

hedge fund.

0:22.0

At Bridgewater Karen oversees the systemization of the research into trading strategies,

0:26.8

manages the development of proprietary investment models,

0:29.8

and directs the design and implementation of client investment strategies. Karen also co-leads the. the how she's thinking about the macro factor shaping investing today and her lessons

0:44.9

for creating strong investment cultures and strong teams.

0:48.3

Karen, welcome to the program.

0:50.3

Great to be here Tony.

0:51.5

I want to talk a little bit about the US macro landscape.

0:54.0

As we sit here today, things are in a friendly place.

0:58.0

US GDP growth is tracking around 3%. The Fed obviously just cut rates by 50 basis points.

1:03.0

So let's start with your outlook for the economy.

1:06.0

Can the U.S. sustain this level of growth?

1:08.0

I actually think it can.

1:10.0

It's a very unique spot to be in so late into an expansion, but you have this expansion where the

1:19.3

Federal raised rates, right?

1:20.5

So it's cut off all the borrowing by anyone in the private sector.

1:24.5

And typically obviously that causes a recession. This time around it was offset by

1:29.4

kind of the tail of the fiscal coming out of COVID, plus the fact that that was kind of the time where the income

1:35.2

cycle took off and he started getting this self-reinforcing cycle where spending leads to more

...

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