3.8 • 950 Ratings
🗓️ 17 March 2025
⏱️ 8 minutes
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0:00.0 | We're talking about market turbulence and how to navigate tough waters with Seeking Alpha's VP of Quant strategy, Steve Kress. |
0:14.6 | And I don't bandy the words prophetic or soothsay around a lot, but I will say it in this case because you wrote this article on February 25th on strategies to help investors who are navigating a tough market. And the market environment's |
0:25.9 | just gotten worse since then. When you wrote it, the fear and greed scale was at fear. Now we're |
0:30.8 | an extreme fear. We had the VIX hit a high for the year. We have the S.O. 500 battling its |
0:36.2 | 200-day moving average. We've had all the |
0:38.7 | games since Election Day wiped out. So tough times. Steve, what are your thoughts on what we're |
0:43.9 | seeing right now in the market? Well, first and foremost, we could be, you know, we're likely |
0:50.3 | at the beginning stages of what's going to be continued uncertainty. |
0:55.2 | And the market hates uncertainty. |
0:58.4 | So the market can normalize a bull period. |
1:01.3 | The market can normalize a bare period. |
1:03.6 | What markets really don't like is uncertainty. |
1:06.2 | And we know historically when there's uncertainty out there, that's when we're sort of at maximum volatility |
1:12.0 | and the maximum sort of corrective phases. So what just adds to the uncertainty here is |
1:20.6 | we're sort of beholden to what's happening in Washington. Up until this point, the economy |
1:27.2 | was in fairly good shape. Earnings, the economy was in fairly good shape. |
1:29.0 | Earnings for most corporations were in pretty good shape. But a lot of policy changes, |
1:34.1 | executive orders, are making it sort of difficult to navigate the environment right now. |
1:39.1 | And that difficulty is what's giving the market pause. And it's forcing a rotation to defensive sectors, |
1:45.6 | such as consumer staple, utilities, and real estate. |
1:48.9 | And what people do during those rotational periods is they typically sell stocks that have given them the best performance. |
1:58.1 | So they want to take some of their profits, especially if you've been in a stock for a couple of years, |
... |
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