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Planet Money

Mid-East conflict escalation, two indicators

Planet Money

NPR

Business, News

4.629.8K Ratings

🗓️ 17 January 2024

⏱️ 20 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On today's show, we look at two indicators of the economic disruptions of the war in Gaza and try to trace how far they will reach.

We start in the Red Sea, a crucial link in the global supply chain connecting to the Suez Canal, with around 15% of the world's shipping passing through it. This includes oil tankers and massive container ships transporting everything from microchips to furniture. With Houthi rebels attacking container ships in solidarity with Palestinians in Gaza, shipping lines are re-routing, adding time and cost to delivery. We look at how ocean shipping is a web more than a chain of links, and try to see which parts of the web can take up more strain as the Red Sea and the Suez Canal become too dangerous to pass.

Then, we'll consider what escalation could mean for the region's most important export: oil. Five steps of escalation each mean a ratcheting up of costs that knock on to other industries, like food. Some prices are likely to rise faster than others, though.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Support for NPR and the following message come from SAP Concur, a leading brand for integrated travel expense and invoice management solutions.

0:08.5

With SAP Concur solutions, you'll be ready to take on whatever the market throws at you next. Learn more at concur.com.

0:16.0

This is Planet Money from NPR.

0:20.0

Hello and welcome to Planet Money, I'm Darien Woods.

0:25.6

And I'm Patty Hirsch.

0:26.9

Tensions in the Middle East continue to ratchet higher.

0:29.9

As the conflict in Israel and Gaza rages, other regional and international actors are beginning to get involved.

0:36.0

The militant group Hezbollah has fired missiles into Israel from Lebanon,

0:39.8

while Hothi rebels from Yemen have attacked ships in the Red Sea and solidarity with Palestinians

0:45.2

and the Gaza Strip.

0:47.0

Those attacks in turn have provoked a military response, including strikes on the mainland

0:51.9

of Yemen from both the US and the UK.

0:54.7

And this week Iran launched a ballistic missile strike into northern Iraq

0:58.5

saying it was aimed at Israelis who it claims were involved in a suicide bombing in Iran recently.

1:04.0

Our colleagues at MPR have been covering the political and human toll of this continued escalation.

1:10.0

And today we trace some of the economic ripple effects of the conflict as it expands outwards.

1:16.1

We look at the three stages of possible escalation and the pressures they put on the region's

1:21.1

biggest export, oil.

1:24.0

But first we start in the Red Sea,

1:26.0

where American warships are defending global shipping routes.

1:29.9

Wailin-Wong and Adrianar pick it up after the break

1:32.4

with a story we ran on our shorter daily show The Indicator.

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