4.4 • 716 Ratings
🗓️ 2 October 2024
⏱️ 39 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Host: Matty A
Co-Host: Ryan Breedwell
In this episode of Money Moves, Matty A and Ryan Breedwell dive into a packed week of market updates, global events, and financial insights. With the news of potential global conflict, inflationary concerns, and domestic port strikes, the duo discusses the impact of these developments on the economy, your investment portfolio, and the potential opportunities to capitalize on.
They also explore the upcoming presidential election, how potential policy shifts could influence the markets, and the role of media and politics in the economic landscape. As always, they offer their financial analysis, strategies, and outlook for both the short-term and long-term investor.
Global Geopolitical Tensions: Potential conflict between Iran and Israel, U.S. funding to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan, and how these developments could affect oil prices, market volatility, and global supply chains.
Domestic Economic Impact & Port Strikes: The implications of the ongoing U.S. port worker strikes, inflation concerns, disruptions to food imports, and how these factors might affect the economy and investments.
Election Insight & Market Volatility: Analyzing the lead-up to the election, including polling trends, political party dynamics, and the anticipated impact on market movement and investor behavior.
Inflationary Pressures & Federal Policy: A breakdown of the relationship between global deflationary trends, the Fed's monetary policy decisions, and how these affect investor confidence and market stability.
Big Picture Financial Strategy & Investor Guidance: How earnings reports, market choppiness, and current events fit into a broader strategy for long-term investing, risk management, and portfolio diversification.
[00:00:00] – Intro & Market Overview: Matty A and Ryan discuss key financial news, including global conflicts, stock market reactions, and the potential impact on oil prices.
[00:01:55] – U.S. Funding & Natural Disasters: Breakdown of U.S. monetary support for international conflicts, federal disaster response, and political memes circulating online.
[00:04:13] – Port Worker Strikes & Economic Fallout: Overview of the U.S. port worker strike, the impact on the economy, union negotiations, potential disruptions to imports and exports, and how this all connects to food inflation.
[00:08:36] – Risk of Rebounding Inflation: Discussion on the potential for a resurgence in inflation and the factors contributing to this, including the aggressive Fed pivot, oil prices, and international economic developments.
[00:09:50] – Election-Driven Market Volatility: Ryan explains how the current election environment is expected to create market volatility and discusses the importance of the upcoming payroll data and earnings reports.
[00:17:00] – Polls & Presidential Race Insights: A closer look at the polls, swing states, and the influence of the political landscape on markets and policy.
[00:22:50] – Immigration, Policy, & Economics: Insight into the significance of border policies, immigration effects on elections, and their impact on the overall U.S. economy.
[00:27:50] – Influence of Media & Politics on Economy: How media, censorship, and international political figures like George Soros are shaping economic discussions and perceptions.
[00:34:00] – Financial Guidance & Wrap-Up: Ryan provides his take on the port strikes, inflation outlook, and election dynamics. Matty A encourages listeners to stay updated on key financial indicators and outlines how to connect for financial planning and investment opportunities.
Matty A: “When you think about an increase larger than 32 percent over six years, right, that’s something that people are sharpening their pencils on.”
Ryan Breedwell: “You don't need more help than you need. The problem is when you start getting too much help, then you lose the ability to get a strike.”
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0:00.0 | Government should not have more power than is needed. |
0:03.1 | They're there to monitor and act as the guardrails, |
0:06.3 | that the bowling ball does not need the guard rails to knock down the pins. |
0:10.3 | It just needs them to keep it on track in case it goes too far left or right. |
0:17.9 | What's going on, guys? Welcome back into another episode of Money Moves, and we got a lot of stuff moving this week. |
0:27.5 | There is a lot going on globally, a lot going on domestically, a lot going on in the stock market. |
0:35.7 | We're going to talk a little bit more about big news today, |
0:39.7 | potentially another war breaking out between Iran and Israel, and how does that impact your |
0:45.4 | investment portfolio and some of the opportunities that might come from it? We've got a big port |
0:51.2 | strike. How does that impact our import export? Ideally, our economy as a whole. |
0:58.7 | We got Hurricane Helen. We've got politics updates. We've got big reports coming out this week |
1:04.9 | with jobs reports, unemployment, all kinds of stuff. So let's just go ahead and dig in on the top of the docket here. |
1:15.1 | Yeah. First, let's start with this war. Right now, stock market pulled back pretty significantly today. |
1:26.4 | I wouldn't say pretty significantly. I was actually a pretty muted reaction in my opinion. It's pulled back pretty significantly today? I wouldn't say pretty significantly. |
1:28.2 | I was actually a pretty muted reaction in my opinion. |
1:30.8 | It's pulled back quite a bit further without geopolitical risk. |
1:34.8 | Yeah. |
1:35.3 | So I really don't. |
1:37.0 | That was a nothing burger to me. |
1:38.5 | I would if that was a big, one of the things we can look at is oil. |
1:43.0 | Oil was up by about $3 a barrel. And if that was something that was a big, one of the things we can look at is oil. Oil was up by about $3 a barrel. |
1:45.2 | And if that was something that was actually of concern, and this is as of now, |
... |
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