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Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Navigating 2025: Why investors need to diversify and hedge their portfolios

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Goldman Sachs

Business

4.41K Ratings

🗓️ 8 January 2025

⏱️ 24 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

2024 was a great year for many US investors, but will the same strategies that worked so well keep working in 2025? Christian Mueller-Glissmann, who heads asset allocation research in Goldman Sachs Research, and Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Co-Chief Investment Officer of the Multi-Asset Solutions Business in Goldman Sachs Asset Management, share their asset allocation outlooks for the year ahead.

Transcript

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0:00.0

2024 was a great year for many U.S. investors, but will the same strategies that worked so well keep working in 2025?

0:08.0

I'm Allison Nathan and this is Goldman Sachs exchanges.

0:11.0

To get their fresh outlooks for asset classes and portfolio strategies,

0:15.0

I'm sitting down with Christian Mueller-Klisman, who heads asset allocation research in Goldman Sachs research and Alexandra Wilson

0:21.4

Elizondo, co-chief investment officer of the multi-asset solutions business in Goldman Sachs

0:26.5

asset management. Alexander is joining me in our New York studio, and Christian is joining us remotely

0:31.5

from our office in London. Christian, Alexandra, welcome to the program and happy New Year.

0:36.1

Happy New Year. Happy New Year to you.

0:38.7

So it's the first podcast of the new year, and I cannot think of a better way to kick it off.

0:43.1

But before we get into our 2025 views, let's start with a quick recap of what worked well

0:48.3

and maybe not so well for portfolios in 2024.

0:52.7

Alexandra, maybe give us a quick sense of that.

0:55.5

Absolutely.

0:56.5

The headline should read long risk.

0:59.1

Long risk worked very well as both U.S. and global economies outperformed what the

1:04.3

expectations were more broadly.

1:05.9

But underneath that, in the broader indices, there was actually meaningful dispersion

1:10.4

in sectors, regions, and was actually meaningful dispersion in sectors,

1:12.0

regions, and size. Just some examples are that U.S. large caps outperform small caps to the tune of

1:18.4

12.5%. Europe underperformed the U.S. by one of the largest margins that we've seen in a very

1:25.9

long time. But there were also interesting stories,

1:28.8

not just in the U.S. and Europe, but across the rest of the globe. So you saw places like Argentina

...

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