4.9 • 907 Ratings
🗓️ 5 March 2020
⏱️ 85 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Friend and near co-host Billy Scafuri is back in the studio answering as many questions as we can -- then asking a few of our own. Let us know how we did on Twitter -- positive feedback only, please!
Thank you to today's sponsor, Elixinol. Visit elixinol.com and use the code BUCKETS20 at check out to receive 20% off Sports Gel today.
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0:00.0 | This is a headgum podcast. |
0:04.0 | Welcome to Buckets. |
0:07.0 | I want you to imagine this. |
0:09.0 | A three-point shooter gets fouled on his attempt and misses. The player heads to the line for three. |
0:16.2 | Any amateur statistician will tell you that there's eight permutations of what will happen next. |
0:20.7 | He will make all three, or he will miss all three or three different versions of |
0:25.2 | missing two or three different versions of missing one. Basically one half times |
0:30.0 | one half times one half, one eighth. |
0:32.6 | But which of these eight is most likely? |
0:35.4 | And which is least likely? |
0:37.4 | I ask some friends who are smarter than me |
0:39.0 | if there's any exact data that tracks this kinds of stuff. |
0:42.1 | And while we got close close I never got a concrete |
0:45.0 | answer though I have enough clues that should yield an accurate estimate which |
0:49.8 | in this world is close enough to fact. Here's what I now know. Second free throws are more accurate |
0:56.0 | than first free throws, and third free throws are more accurate still. This should come |
1:01.0 | as no surprise to anybody who's shot around once you get into rhythm for a specific shot in a specific spot they get easier |
1:07.4 | That being said the average free throw shooter this year shoots 77% from the Charity Stripe. Three point shooters |
1:14.9 | probably shoot a little bit higher so let's guess that's 80%. At that clip |
1:19.5 | they're more likely to hit all three free throws than miss any. |
1:23.4 | 0.8 times 0.8. |
1:26.0 | This number is higher if you consider that the second and third one |
... |
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