4.8 • 687 Ratings
🗓️ 4 August 2020
⏱️ 27 minutes
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0:00.0 | what's up guys rick here with your betting and one end done preview for this week's pGA championship |
0:16.8 | that's right it's here the only major of this season so we're going to talk through some |
0:22.6 | outright winners both from my model at rickrungood dot com we're going to talk through who i've |
0:28.3 | already bet kind of like my gut side of it we'll do some head-to-head matchups and we will try to |
0:34.7 | determine a one and done strategy for this massive event everything |
0:40.3 | you're going to see is available at rick run good dot com they're the tools on my site i hope you |
0:45.7 | join me uh but without further ado let's let's jump into this the tournament predictor tool |
0:53.2 | and for uh new visitors new viewers let's talk about what this tool actually does. |
0:59.8 | Essentially, it allows you to put in a target score, essentially strokes gained, |
1:05.6 | how many strokes you'll need to gain on the field to win this golf tournament. |
1:09.2 | I have it currently set at 14 for the PGA championship. |
1:12.0 | And then it shows you how likely each golfer is to get to that target score. |
1:17.5 | And then once we know the likelihood, we look at the odds provided by Las Vegas and bookmakers. |
1:24.1 | And we can say, okay, if they get to the target score this often, is that enough |
1:30.0 | value based on their odds to be able to bet them? |
1:32.7 | It's that simple. |
1:33.6 | It uses actual results from the golfers and what their ceiling and what their floor is, |
1:39.6 | and it's been very handy this season. |
1:42.2 | So let's jump into this because when you get a major championship and you get a ton of |
1:48.0 | big name players, you know, that outright market kind of gets stretched out a little bit. |
1:54.0 | It's not like there's only one or two studs in this field that eat up the vast majority |
1:57.6 | of the win equity. |
... |
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