4.6 • 2.7K Ratings
🗓️ 9 November 2024
⏱️ 14 minutes
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0:00.0 | This is CBS. I am the world. I'm John Batchel. I welcome my colleague, Professor Richard Epstein, of the Hoover Institution, teaches law at NYU, and the University of Chicago. |
0:14.0 | And in looking at the most recent election, and lessons learned so far, for the parties and for those looking ahead for the second Trump administration |
0:25.6 | and a majority Congress which is a rare event and requires contemplation. |
0:32.6 | Richard, a very good evening too. |
0:34.6 | On election night, the polls told us that it was very close and that |
0:40.3 | the majority was leaning towards Vice President Harris. However, as the evening began and the results |
0:47.7 | at first trickled in and then came more steadily, it was clear that the polls were not describing what we were seeing on the map. |
0:57.0 | At the end of the evening, which was about 4 a.m., my only characterization of what I saw was a razor-thin landslide. |
1:07.0 | Now that it's several days later, and we see Mr. Trump and the Republicans dominating the results, |
1:15.7 | can you recall your first thoughts on election night and then your thoughts ever since as to what we're seeing |
1:22.3 | and what we didn't see in the polls, what we didn't anticipate from the cognizante beforehand but it is now relevant |
1:30.8 | good evening to you richard yeah hi well i was of two minds i listened to the polls um i have mixed |
1:36.5 | woes about donald trump and i have utterly unambiguous views about kamala harris and i said i can't |
1:43.7 | believe that this woman could possibly win. |
1:45.7 | And these polls are telling me that. |
1:47.7 | And then what I did is I took a deep breath, went to sleep, and I woke up in the morning. |
1:51.9 | And I said, no, the polls are worthless and that he will win. |
1:55.2 | Now, why did I say that? |
1:56.8 | Fact number one is that we had polls back in 2020, which had Biden ahead by seven, and he won |
2:03.9 | dubiously, I think, by two. And so there was a bias in the polls then. There's going to be more |
2:09.0 | of a bias now. Secondly, I think when it comes to polling, there are too many polls. And one of the |
2:14.6 | things that the Democrats are very good at is intimidation. And when people |
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