Are you a member of the River or the Village? This is an important question for our upcoming episode here.

Members of the River, as described by Nate Silver,

you might know him from his Just Outbook on The Edge, his podcast, business or his pioneering election statistics

probabilities all around elections he was running 538.com now he's doing the silver bulletin his newsletter and

Maria Kanakova who I don't know if you remember a few years ago. She didn't know anything about

poker started taking poker lessons. remember a few years ago she didn't know anything about poker

started taking poker lessons and within a year she was she was writing a book called

or she wrote a book called the biggest bluff appeared on this podcast but she

became a really great poker player.

So members of the river, as defined by these two,

are able to make rational decisions

using probabilities, data, and not just gut emotions.

Like when you're willing to take risks

and by understanding all the probabilities,

this is how, for instance, you become a great poker player, a great, perhaps

better on elections, and even perhaps a great investor.

It changes the way you look at all the decisions in your life and we're going to talk

about that and many other things we're going to talk about their podcast risky

business we're going to talk about Nate's book on the edge their newsletters

which is the leap from Maria or the Silver Bulletin from

Nate, and we're going to talk even more about elections and poker.

So again, keep in mind, keep asking yourself the question, are you a member of the river or the village?

...