Time in the Market is Better Than Timing the Market w/ Caleb Silver
Market Mondays
EYL Network
5 • 4K Ratings
🗓️ 2 January 2025
⏱️ 6 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Welcome back to another clip of Market Mondays! In today's clip, your host Rashad Bilal invites special guest Caleb Silver, a financial expert with decades of experience. They dive deep into the current state of the U.S. economy, discussing everything from the stock market and asset bubbles to economic bailouts and predictions for the future.
⭐ *Highlights in This Episode:*
- *U.S. Economy Analysis:* Caleb shares his personal perspective on whether the U.S. economy is poised for a pullback, recession, or continued growth. He explains how the lack of moral hazard and frequent bailouts benefit asset holders and stockholders, while also touching on the impact of government policies.
- *Stock Market Trends:* Reflecting on past predictions, Caleb admits his mistake in underestimating the market's performance in 2024. He points out how ultra-profitable companies and the relentless bullish trend in key indexes like NASDAQ and S&P 500 have defied expectations.
- *Investment Strategies:* Caleb provides practical advice on staying invested, rebalancing portfolios, and the importance of time in the market versus timing the market. He emphasizes that consistent investing and long-term perspectives often yield the best results, even when economic conditions seem uncertain.
- *Lessons Learned:* Caleb shares his biggest lessons from the past half-decade, including the importance of continuous learning and adapting investment strategies based on economic shifts.
Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting out, this episode is packed with invaluable insights and actionable advice. Don't miss out on Caleb Silver's expert take on navigating the complexities of today's financial landscape.
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Transcript
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| 0:54.4 | everything secure. How do you feel about the U.S. economy and your own personal opinion? Like, |
| 0:59.3 | do you think that, because we're at the top of everything as far as prices when it comes to |
| 1:05.4 | NASDAQ, S&P 500, you know, everything is at an all-time high. Bitcoin, do you think that we're due for a |
| 1:12.5 | pullback, a recession, or we're just going to keep going up? |
| 1:18.5 | I think this. I think we're in this position right now, and it's really been for the last |
| 1:23.5 | decade plus, maybe 20 years, where there is no moral hazard, right? Anytime we get into |
| 1:28.2 | economic choppiness, anytime we get into stock market choppiness, what happens? We get bailed out |
| 1:33.1 | in some way, shape, or form. But who gets the benefit of the bailout? Asset holders, stockholders, |
| 1:39.1 | property owners, right? We have a K-shaped economy where if you own stocks, if you own your home, |
| 1:45.5 | if you own a business, if you own real estate, you're doing fine. And anytime it looks like we're on shaky ground, |
| 1:50.4 | guess what? Somebody floors interest rates, makes money cheap again. They dump money over in the economy |
| 1:55.6 | like helicopter money. That bails out businesses. Sometimes that can be very beneficial. We needed |
| 2:00.1 | it during the early days of the pandemic. But we never worry about what happens on the other side of that. And I don't know if we ever will, especially with this administration, because they're going to do whatever they can to keep this economy humming, or at least the headline numbers humming and the stock market humming. Nobody likes to brag more about the performance of the stock market than the incoming president, even though presidents don't have a lot to do with the performance of the stock |
| 2:21.0 | market, I think they're going to not let anything happen that would feel like bad headlines |
... |
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