4.2 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 1 April 2025
⏱️ 3 minutes
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0:00.0 | Hi everyone, welcome back to the latest market recap delivered to you by me, Palvatar. |
0:11.3 | Of course, I'm just Raoul's AI Avatar, so please don't consider what I say to be his real views. |
0:17.2 | But if you're a pro macro subscriber and want to know what he's thinking of the markets right now, |
0:22.4 | please check out his latest shooting the shit with Julian Bittle. |
0:26.3 | Now it may be April Fool's Day, but I can assure you that this report is no joke. |
0:30.9 | And now onto the markets. |
0:33.2 | Investors are on tenterhooks ahead of tomorrow's announcement of the details of U.S. President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs. |
0:40.1 | However, there's been some respite from the brutal sell-off of the past few days, with global stocks and crypto mostly in the green today. |
0:47.5 | Even gold hit another record high and other traditional haven assets, such as the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc, held firm. |
0:55.7 | So you could say it's been an everything's up kind of day so far, except for US Treasury yields. |
1:01.5 | A currency that has traditionally been more risk-sensitive, the Australian dollar, |
1:06.1 | gained in value against its US equivalent after the Australian Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged. |
1:12.3 | This was widely expected after the cut in February, but the chances of another cut in May |
1:17.1 | grew after dovish statements from the bank officials caused by the tariff uncertainty. |
1:22.7 | In other news, economic data releases today have shown some positive trends within Europe. |
1:29.5 | Notably, annual inflation in the Eurozone eased slightly to 2.2% in March, while unemployment fell to a new low of 6.1%. Additionally, |
1:38.0 | manufacturing activity indicators showed modest improvements. For example, Germany's manufacturing |
1:43.5 | PMI rose significantly compared to previous |
1:46.8 | months, but overall conditions remain fragile. Speaking of manufacturing, the sector faced challenges |
1:53.1 | in Asia in March. Private sector surveys showed factory activity in Japan, South Korea and Taiwan |
1:59.3 | all fell. China was one exception, with the Kaysin |
2:03.2 | General Manufacturing PMI climbing to 51.2, ahead of market expectations. A reading above 50 means |
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