Hey everybody it's Joe Trippy and welcome back to that trippy show with Alex Ashlow.

This week, we're officially past Labor Day

when campaigns traditionally kick it into high gear.

But of course, if you're a regular listener,

you know we've all been in high gear for a while.

Anyway, Alex, where should we get started?

Joe, at this time of year we always see a surge of new listeners and welcome back by the way if you haven't been

listening for a while and thank all of you for sticking with us if you've

stuck with us the past eight ten months of what I would charitably describe as a

slog but hopefully the lights at the end of the tunnel.

Joe, with just like nine weeks left, a few days less when people listen to this,

I thought it would be good for you to kind of give us the story so far. A lot of you for who might just be joining us might not know that you've been saying like forever that the structure of the race has a very specific number and in terms of what Kamala ceiling is what Trump's ceiling is and it really seems like we're moving in that direction.

What are you seeing is that is that fair to say? Yeah, I have been saying forever that the structure of the race is 4653. 46 Trump. There's 53% that do not absolutely decided they don't want Trump.

And we've basically seen Trump stuck at 46 or thereabouts,

and whether it was Biden or Harris,

or who, you know, that number on the other side

Fluctuated basically depending on what Biden's age and all that stuff and and third parties and all these kinds group and that 53% did not want Trump could either

some group in that 53% did not want Trump could either stay home vote third party

or grudgingly during the Biden candidacy grudgingly moved to him.

But it's clear to me, and continues to be clear to me that this has been structurally a from basically

from the time Trump came down the escalator he's been stuck at 46 he got 46 in

2016 46. He got 46 in 2016, 46.7 in 2020. And he's now in the ABC

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