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Inside Briefing with the Institute for Government

Will Trump rip up Reeves’s rebalanced books?

Inside Briefing with the Institute for Government

Institute for Government

News, Politics, Government

4.6252 Ratings

🗓️ 28 March 2025

⏱️ 49 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Spring has nearly sprung, but the fiscal forecasts made for a rather gloomy spring statement for Rachel Reeves. Stewart Wood, a Labour peer and former adviser to Gordon Brown, joins the podcast team to assess the state of the economy - and Reeves’s attempts to turn it around.  How much will welfare cuts upset Labour backbenchers? What could Donald Trump's tariffs mean for Reeves's plans? And just how difficult are the choices awaiting the chancellor as the spending review approaches? Plus: New IfG research focuses on left behind groups - and sets out some of the tensions in how the government is approaching one of its missions and milestones. Presented by Alex Thomas. With Jill Rutter, Gemma Tetlow and Sophie Metcalfe. Produced by Candice McKenzie. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome to Inside Briefing, the podcast from the Institute for Government. I'm Alex Thomas.

0:16.0

The sun is out, the clocks are going forward, you can't move on social media for pictures of magnolia,

0:21.0

and spring may nearly have sprung, but the fiscal forecasts made for a rather gloomier spring statement

0:25.4

than Rachel Reeves would have liked. Growth has been weaker than expected, Donald Trump has been

0:30.0

as erratic as predicted, neither helps the Chancellor who has chosen to cut welfare budgets in order

0:34.2

to keep the books as balanced as possible. So what should we make of the

0:37.6

state of the economy and Rachel Reeves's attempts to turn it around? Who will cause her a bigger headache?

0:42.6

Labor backbenchers or the President of the United States? And just how difficult are the choices

0:46.9

awaiting the Chancellor in the future? And then we'll take a deeper dive into one of the government's

0:51.1

missions, which is also sort of one of its milestones, because a new

0:54.6

IFG report on Left Behind Groups sets out some of the tensions in its plans, which the government is

0:59.4

going to have to address. Joining me throughout, fresh from a spring statement day of media

1:04.0

appearances on College Green is IFG chief economist Gemma Tetlow. Hello, Gemma. Hi, Alex. And IFG

1:09.5

senior fellow and one-time treasurer official Jill Rutter is also here. Hi, Jill. Hi, Emma. And IFG Senior Fellow and one-time treasure official Jill

1:11.7

Rutter is also here. Hi, Jill. Hi, Alex. And I'm delighted that we're joined again by Stuart Wood,

1:16.7

Lord Wood of Anfield. Stuart, I've never quite worked out how you got that past the Garter King of Arms.

1:21.0

But anyway, a Labour peer and a former advisor to Gordon Brown as Chancellor and then Prime Minister. Thank you very much, Stuart, for being with us. Hello, lovely to be with you. So, Stuart, just to start with you, this, you know, we assume is not

1:32.7

where Reeves would have wanted to be less than nine months after Labour had turned to power,

1:36.7

but was it where she should have expected to be? I think she's been a little bit unlucky.

1:41.6

I mean, as Richard Hughes, the head of the Office of Budget

1:44.2

Responsibility has said over the last 24 hours, growth in the second half of last year was much

1:50.9

more sluggish than people imagined. And it's not just in Britain, and maybe British factors as well.

...

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