So how's everyone doing? I'm really excited to visit Tyra Banks as ice cream shop this weekend.

The Smizan Dream in Washington, D.C. The very same Galen. Does everyone know what smising is?

Yeah, yes.

He's doing it right now.

Try a little bit harder, a little bit harder.

Smile a little bit more with those eyes.

Okay, now you look like a murderer. Hello and

folks, we are two weeks, I'm Galen Druk.

And folks, we are two weeks away from Election Day, the polar coaster has entered a barrel roll.

As we sit down to record in the 538 averages Harris leads nationally by two percentage points. In Wisconsin the polls are even. In

Michigan, even in Pennsylvania, also even in Nevada, even and in North Carolina, stop me if you've heard this one before, but even.

In Georgia and Arizona, Trump leads by two percentage points each, and today we're going to do

an update on where the polls

stand and yes I will also ask if Republican pollsters are flooding the zone if you

don't know what that means bless you you have more important things to be

doing and I appreciate that.

We will get into it nonetheless.

We're also going to consider who the swing voters or undecided voters are in 2024.

How are they different from past elections and have the campaigns and media appropriately

updated their priors after decades of talking about suburban women?

And for any of you who joined us on our podcast road trip last week and thought,

wait a second, why didn't they go to Nebraska for that surprisingly close Senate race?

...