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The Ezra Klein Show

Best Of: Who Wins — and Who Loses — in the A.I. Revolution?

The Ezra Klein Show

New York Times Opinion

Society & Culture, Government, News

4.611K Ratings

🗓️ 23 December 2022

⏱️ 72 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

This past year, we’ve witnessed considerable progress in the development of artificial intelligence, from the release of the image generators like DALL-E 2 to chat bots like ChatGPT and Cicero to a flurry of self-driving cars. So this week, we’re revisiting some of our favorite conversations about the rise of A.I. and what it means for the world. Today’s conversation is with Sam Altman. He’s the C.E.O. of OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT. When I talked to him in June 2021, ChatGPT was still over a year away from being available to the public for testing. But the A.I. developments since then have only increased the salience of the questions Altman raised in his 2021 essay “Moore’s Law for Everything.” Altman’ argument is this: Since the 1970s, computers have gotten exponentially better even as they’re gotten cheaper, a phenomenon known as Moore’s Law. Altman believes that A.I. could get us closer to Moore’s Law for everything: it could make everything better even as it makes it cheaper. Housing, health care, education, you name it. But what struck me about his essay is that last clause: “if we as a society manage it responsibly.” Because, as Altman also admits, if he is right then A.I. will generate phenomenal wealth largely by destroying countless jobs — that’s a big part of how everything gets cheaper — and shifting huge amounts of wealth from labor to capital. And whether that world becomes a post-scarcity utopia or a feudal dystopia hinges on how wealth, power and dignity are then distributed — it hinges, in other words, on politics. Mentioned: “Moore’s Law for Everything” by Sam Altman Recommendations: Crystal Nights by Greg Egan The Last Question by Isaac Asimov The Gentle Seduction by Marc Stiegler “Meditations on Moloch” by Scott Alexander Thoughts? Email us at [email protected]. Guest suggestions? Fill out this form. You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs. “The Ezra Klein Show” is produced by Annie Galvin, Jeff Geld and Rogé Karma; fact-checking by Michelle Harris; original music by Isaac Jones; mixing by Jeff Geld, audience strategy by Shannon Busta. Special thanks to Kristin Lin.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hey, it says we are off through the end of 2022, but here at the end of the year, because

0:06.0

I think this is going to prove to have been a really major year in the history of artificial

0:10.6

intelligence.

0:11.6

I wanted to repost some episodes I did previously about AI.

0:16.1

So we already put up Brian Christian, which I really recommend, but this one is with Sam

0:19.7

Altman.

0:20.7

And Altman is CEO of OpenAI, which is the company behind GPT3 and chat GPT, which have been

0:28.4

the big chatbot systems that a lot of people have been using.

0:32.6

They've got a ton of coverage.

0:33.6

And they've, I think, allowed for the first time a mass of people to see how good AI systems

0:39.3

have really gotten.

0:41.2

One thing about the show is it in it.

0:43.1

I was very much trying to live in a world where what would it mean if the AI folks are

0:48.6

right?

0:49.6

What would it mean if Sam Altman is right about what he thinks will happen?

0:52.9

So it's something to keep in mind.

0:53.9

We're also going to be doing some shows on what if they're wrong.

0:56.5

But as you can begin to see what these systems could do, I think it's a really good time

1:01.0

to try to think about what their political implications are and what their implications

1:04.4

are just for power or broadly.

1:10.6

I'm Mr. Klein and this is the Ezra Clancho.

1:25.0

So a few months ago I came across this really fascinating essay by Sam Altman called Moore's

...

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