Don't Get Your Hopes Up for a New Iran Nuclear Deal

Cato Daily Podcast

Caleb Brown

Politics, News Commentary, 424708, Libertarian, Markets, Cato, News, Immigration, Peace, Policy, Government, Defense

4.6 • 949 Ratings

🗓️ 24 September 2024

⏱️ 10 minutes

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Summary

Discussions about renewing or adopting something like the JCPOA to slow Iran's advance toward nuclear weapons should be tempered by the evidence. Justin Logan believes it's a dead letter.

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Transcript

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0:00.0	This is the Cato Daily Podcast for Tuesday, September 24,
0:07.6	2004. I'm Caleb Brown.
0:09.7	Iran's Supreme Leader recently opened the door to renewed negotiations with the US over the country's The Iran's advanced toward nuclear-armed status.
0:23.7	Justin Logan says while the JCPOA was on balance a good thing,
0:27.8	restarting it or adopting one similar is effectively a dead letter.
0:37.0	Before we get into the meat of this, the JCPOA was meant, I believe, from the US perspective to if nothing else delay perhaps
0:50.2	Iran's ascension to a full nuclear power. Is that about right?
0:56.0	Yeah, it was a nuclear nonproliferation agreement under which the United States would and European allies the P5 plus one
1:06.9	which is the permanent five members of the UN Security Council plus Germany would relax sanctions and other economic restrictions on Iran in
1:16.8	exchange for measurable monitoring and
1:25.0	by the monitoring of Iran's nuclear activities.
1:28.0	It entered into place, I believe, July 14, 2015.
1:29.0	And by 2018, the Trump administration, I think in May May pulled the United States out which collapsed the JCPOA and was there at the time an effort by
1:40.9	other allies to continue the deal minus the United States?
1:44.4	No, I mean as these things go in so many cases without the United States
1:49.2	you can't keep things going.
1:51.2	So in 2018 the United States pulled out there was this
1:55.3	moment of sort of paralysis what happens next and Secretary of State Mike
2:00.4	Pompeo was asked I think in November of 2018 what if Iran were to
2:06.0	restart its nuclear program and Pompeo famously or infamously depending on how
2:11.4	you see this said we believe they won't, we're confident they won't do that.
2:16.3	They did do that.
	...

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