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Making the Argument with Nick Freitas

Election Predictions and Fact-Checking

Making the Argument with Nick Freitas

Nick Freitas

News, Society & Culture, News Commentary, Politics

4.4743 Ratings

🗓️ 15 October 2024

⏱️ 154 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Who is going to win the election? That is the question on everybody's mind, and I have good news. We are going to tell you! But that's not all. First we are going to do some analysis of every journalist's new favoritiest thing ever "fact checking" to include some of our favorite examples of JD Vance straight up checking the fact checkers right into a wall…You are not going to want to miss that!

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Well, who is going to win the election?

0:03.1

That is the question on everybody's minds.

0:05.5

And we know the answer.

0:07.4

Well, Christian does.

0:08.4

And we're going to make him tell us the answer.

0:10.4

Now, I'm going to caveat some things up front so we don't have to listen to 47 caveats as we're going through this.

0:16.7

So as long as everyone understands, here's the rules today.

0:19.7

We're going to be looking at polling.

0:20.8

We're going to be looking at betting markets.

0:22.0

We're going to be looking at any number of things that could provide us a strong,

0:26.8

let's say, inductive argument for who's going to win on November 5th.

0:30.8

And we're going to require, we're going to require Christian to actually give us bold predictions.

0:35.4

None of this like mealy mouth political crap.

0:37.5

Well, there's a hard to read.

0:38.2

No, no, no, no, bold predictions.

0:40.3

So when he resists this urge, because he is a very good analyst, in fact, some

0:45.4

have even called him the Oracle of Virginia, and it was no one in this room.

0:50.0

So I get it.

0:50.8

I get it.

0:51.2

He wants to be careful.

0:52.5

He wants to be careful. He wants to be careful. So we're going to push him to make good predictions, right? We're going to push him to make bold predictions. But give the guy a break of things change over the next couple of weeks a little bit. Okay. So just there we go. That caveat's out there. Plus, I got to tell you, one of my favorite pastimes lately has been watching J.D. Vance just take the press to the woodshed on a regular basis.

1:12.7

And so we're going to talk a little bit about that because we had some debate on this show

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