An underrated aspect of this year's elections, the British election was on July 4th and the American election is on November 5th, aka Guy Fox Day.

That's true.

Yeah. Yeah.

Fireworks for Britain in America and then fireworks for America in Britain.

Okay, well somebody just described our last round of polling over the next few months as the finale

to a fireworks show, so I feel like that works out really well.

That's good.

I love that. Hello and we are exactly two months away from election day.

In fact, early voting in Pennsylvania,

the likeliest tipping point state,

begins in just a week and a half, September 16th.

Folks, it is election time.

To help prepare for the final post-Labor day stretch,

we're assessing the presidential election

from three perspectives.

How we got here, where we are now, and what we should expect over the next two months.

We discussed where we are and how we got here in the last podcast episode.

So if you missed it, you may want to go back and listen to that first.

Today, we're going to talk about what to expect over the next two months.

How much polling usually changes between Labor Day and Election Day, sources of polling error, debates, and of course, October surprises.

Joining me again, our senior election analyst Nathaniel Rakeich and survey editor at the New York Times, Ruth Igelnick. Let's dive right in. So election

watchers, probably us included, treat Labor Day like a bright dividing line

...