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FiveThirtyEight Politics

How RFK Jr.'s Exit Changes The Race

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

Politics, News

4.620.5K Ratings

🗓️ 26 August 2024

⏱️ 34 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Just as the Democratic National Convention wrapped up, independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the 2024 race. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew tries to parse the effect that both events could have on the presidential race. They also look to Washington state's primary for an indication of how the House popular vote might play out this fall. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

I believe my first concert was the Bear Naked Ladies in 1998.

0:06.0

Nice.

0:07.0

That's iconic.

0:08.0

Were you also an Eve Six person?

0:11.0

No.

0:12.0

I feel like Bear Naked Ladies and Eve Six kind of went hand in hand.

0:14.4

No, I think Eve Six was a little edgier.

0:17.1

Yeah. Like Eve Six is like, I would swallow my pride, I would choke on the rhines.

0:21.1

I would like, you know, like.

0:22.1

By nothing but faith in nothing. And nothing. Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast. I'm Galen Druk.

0:39.0

This election cycle always seems to have another twist coming. Shortly after the

0:45.2

Democrats wrapped up their convention last week, independent presidential

0:48.2

candidate RFK Jr. dropped out of the race and endorsed former President Trump. That means that once again

0:55.2

that there might be too many things happening at once to parse through what's

0:59.4

happening in the data, but we'll give it a good old-fashioned try.

1:04.0

Did the DNC result in a convention bounce for Harris?

1:07.0

And how will RFK Jr's exit affect support for the two major party candidates.

1:12.8

We also have a good or bad use of polling example for you today,

1:16.4

but not the survey kind of poll,

1:18.6

the actual poll where you go and vote.

1:21.5

Washington State held its primary this month and because of both the

1:25.6

structure of the primary and the fact that it happens late in the cycle, it's been seen

...

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