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How Trump’s Conviction Could Reshape the Election

The Daily

The New York Times

News, Daily News

4.597.8K Ratings

🗓️ 3 June 2024

⏱️ 32 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript


Last week, Donald J. Trump became the first U.S. former president to be convicted of a crime when a jury found that he had falsified business records to conceal a sex scandal. Maggie Haberman, a senior political correspondent for The Times, and Reid J. Epstein, who also covers politics, discuss how the conviction might shape the remaining months of the presidential race. Guest: Nate Cohn, who is the chief political analyst for The New York Times. Maggie Haberman, a senior political correspondent for The New York Times. Reid J. Epstein, who covers politics for The New York Times.

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From New York Times, I'm Michael Bobaro.


This is the Daily.


Today, how the criminal conviction of Donald Trump will shape the remaining months of the presidential race and potentially its outcome.


My colleagues, Nate Cohn, Maggie Haberman, and Reed Epstein.


Explain. It's Monday, Monday, June 3rd. Hello, Nate.


Hello, Michael.


So it's been three days since Donald Trump was convicted of 34


felony charges and now that the dust is starting to settle it feels like we


have to turn to the question of its impact on the election and you are our


resident polling expert at the times and so we want you to frame


that question with as much data as we possibly can there's always been a sense that for a lot of voters, a Trump conviction wouldn't change a thing.


So whose vote, according to all the polls you conduct and study, might this conviction actually influence.


What's that universe?


Well, we haven't yet conducted any polls since the conviction.


So all of this is strictly theoretical but before the conviction even before the trial


We were asking voters what they would do how they would vote if Donald Trump was convicted of a serious crime.


And when we gave voters that hypothetical, a small but still meaningful group of


Donald Trump supporters told us that they would then vote for Joe Biden.


Hmm, how small but meaningful?


So in our time, see on a battleground polls in October,


7% of Donald Trump's supporters said they would


vote for Joe Biden if Donald Trump was convicted of a felony.


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