How Trump’s Conviction Could Reshape the Election

The Daily

The New York Times

News, Daily News

4.5 • 97.8K Ratings

🗓️ 3 June 2024

⏱️ 32 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Last week, Donald J. Trump became the first U.S. former president to be convicted of a crime when a jury found that he had falsified business records to conceal a sex scandal. Maggie Haberman, a senior political correspondent for The Times, and Reid J. Epstein, who also covers politics, discuss how the conviction might shape the remaining months of the presidential race. Guest: Nate Cohn, who is the chief political analyst for The New York Times. Maggie Haberman, a senior political correspondent for The New York Times. Reid J. Epstein, who covers politics for The New York Times.

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0:00.0	From New York Times, I'm Michael Bobaro.
0:04.0	This is the Daily.
0:05.0	Today, how the criminal conviction of Donald Trump will shape the remaining months of the presidential race and potentially its outcome.
0:22.8	My colleagues, Nate Cohn, Maggie Haberman, and Reed Epstein.
0:27.1	Explain. It's Monday, Monday, June 3rd. Hello, Nate.
0:44.3	Hello, Michael.
0:46.0	So it's been three days since Donald Trump was convicted of 34
0:50.4	felony charges and now that the dust is starting to settle it feels like we
0:55.4	have to turn to the question of its impact on the election and you are our
1:01.5	resident polling expert at the times and so we want you to frame
1:06.4	that question with as much data as we possibly can there's always been a sense that for a lot of voters, a Trump conviction wouldn't change a thing.
1:15.8	So whose vote, according to all the polls you conduct and study, might this conviction actually influence.
1:25.0	What's that universe?
1:27.0	Well, we haven't yet conducted any polls since the conviction.
1:30.0	So all of this is strictly theoretical but before the conviction even before the trial
1:37.1	We were asking voters what they would do how they would vote if Donald Trump was convicted of a serious crime.
1:45.0	And when we gave voters that hypothetical, a small but still meaningful group of
1:52.0	Donald Trump supporters told us that they would then vote for Joe Biden.
1:57.0	Hmm, how small but meaningful?
2:00.0	So in our time, see on a battleground polls in October,
2:02.0	7% of Donald Trump's supporters said they would
2:06.3	vote for Joe Biden if Donald Trump was convicted of a felony.
	...

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