4.2 • 7.1K Ratings
🗓️ 28 January 2025
⏱️ 76 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
(0:00) Ray Dalio joins Friedberg!
(0:50) The current US fiscal situation
(6:23) Breaking down "The Big Debt Cycle," a potential US debt spiral, and the impact on real wealth
(24:54) USD vs other currencies and assets, best hedges against the dollar
(33:20) Portfolio construction, how China increases risk for US AI companies, why this market reminds Ray of 1998-1999
(41:45) How the US can avoid a debt crisis
(53:29) DOGE, Trump, and AI's greatest risk
(1:05:31) Chances of conflict between the US and China
Follow the Besties:
Follow Ray Dalio:
Read Part 1 of "How Countries Go Broke":
https://x.com/RayDalio/status/1878840018770210979
Pre-order "How Countries Go Broke":
https://www.amazon.com/Principles-Investment-Economic-Ray-Dalio/dp/1501124064
Follow on X:
Follow on Instagram:
https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
Follow on TikTok:
https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/government-debt-to-gdp
https://www.crfb.org/press-releases/treasury-confirms-calendar-year-2024-deficit-tops-20-trillion
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61172
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL
https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/outlook/economic-outlook/fed-meeting-september-2024
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/insights/fomc-recap-december-2024
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
0:00.0 | It was the government that was the big buyer. Then you get everybody leveraging up. Then you've got a problem. |
0:06.5 | Do you own Bitcoin, right? Yeah, I have some, not nearly as much as gold. The AI war. It's a war that |
0:12.8 | no country can lose. If China or the U.S. really lose this war, it's more important than profits. |
0:23.1 | We're at a civil war internally, and we're at an this war. It's more important than profits. We're at a civil war internally, |
0:28.8 | and we're at an international war simultaneously. Just have people behave logically. |
0:31.9 | Maybe that's too much to ask. We hope. |
0:37.5 | I'm going all in. All right, besties. I think that was another epic discussion. |
0:38.7 | People love the interviews. |
0:40.5 | I could hear talk for hours. |
0:41.1 | Absolutely. |
0:43.0 | We crushed your questions a minute. |
0:46.3 | We are giving people ground truth data to underwrite your own opinion. |
0:47.2 | What are you going to say? |
0:47.8 | That was fun. |
0:48.4 | How is great? I'm doing all in. |
0:50.5 | Ray, good morning. |
0:51.6 | Good morning. |
0:52.4 | I'm going to start off by sharing a couple stats. |
0:55.7 | Today, the U.S. has $36.4 trillion of federal government debt and GDP of $29.1 trillion, giving a debt to GDP ratio of 125%. |
1:06.3 | And this ratio has climbed steadily since the pandemic began in 2020, when the federal government |
1:12.2 | debt was 20 trillion and GDP was just 21 trillion. |
1:16.0 | So since the pandemic, federal government debt has risen by 80% while GDPs climbed 38%. |
... |
Transcript will be available on the free plan in 21 days. Upgrade to see the full transcript now.
Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from All-In Podcast, LLC, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.
Generated transcripts are the property of All-In Podcast, LLC and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Copyright © Tapesearch 2025.