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Wall Street Breakfast

Summer cuts coming? Sticky inflation will keep gold in spotlight

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business, Investing, Business News, News

3.8950 Ratings

🗓️ 21 March 2025

⏱️ 11 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

No cut baked in for May; summer rate cuts coming? (0:20) Financials see gains (1:45). Gold hits $3000 (2:50). Intel and Adobe, a tale of two stocks (3:45). Investors take Nvidia GTC event in stride (5:20). Tesla's politicization (6:10). Paychex and Dollar Tree earnings as economic indicators (8:00).

Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb

Show links: 
Gold extends rally after Fed holds the line on interest rates
Federal Reserve's 'modestly restrictive' stance remains appropriate amid economic uncertainty
Intel sinks as euphoria surrounding new CEO, foundry tie-up, fade
Adobe Summit 2025 Investor Meeting Conference

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Brian Stewart.

0:10.3

Welcome back to Wall Street Breakfast.

0:12.7

Great to have you as always.

0:14.4

Thanks.

0:15.4

Great to be here.

0:15.4

Our director of news, lots to digest in that arena.

0:18.7

What has you most interested this week?

0:22.3

So I think we have to start with the Fed came out.

0:25.6

No cut to interest rates as expected.

0:29.1

It was probably one of the most widely expected Fed decisions in a long time.

0:34.4

However, the commentary pointed to weaker economic growth and stickier inflation,

0:42.2

which created some worry initially, but eventually people kind of took the positive side of

0:49.3

things as Powell started to speak. So if we just kind of look at the percentages in terms of

0:53.6

probabilities for the

0:54.5

next couple Fed meetings, there's now baked in an 85% chance of no cut in May. So basically

1:00.6

hold the course for the next few months. But then in June, you get to the point where there's a 73%

1:05.9

chance that rates will be lower by the end of that meeting, only a 27% chance of no cuts.

1:11.0

So the market is coming to a consensus that June is going to be the next rate cut.

1:15.3

And then as we look further down, there's now only a 2% chance that there won't be a cut at all this year.

1:22.6

A month ago, that chance was at 16.

1:24.6

So you see people coming to the conclusion that there's going to have to

1:28.6

be some rate cuts during this year, like I said, probably in June, as the Fed starts to take

...

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