3.8 • 950 Ratings
🗓️ 21 March 2025
⏱️ 11 minutes
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0:00.0 | Brian Stewart. |
0:10.3 | Welcome back to Wall Street Breakfast. |
0:12.7 | Great to have you as always. |
0:14.4 | Thanks. |
0:15.4 | Great to be here. |
0:15.4 | Our director of news, lots to digest in that arena. |
0:18.7 | What has you most interested this week? |
0:22.3 | So I think we have to start with the Fed came out. |
0:25.6 | No cut to interest rates as expected. |
0:29.1 | It was probably one of the most widely expected Fed decisions in a long time. |
0:34.4 | However, the commentary pointed to weaker economic growth and stickier inflation, |
0:42.2 | which created some worry initially, but eventually people kind of took the positive side of |
0:49.3 | things as Powell started to speak. So if we just kind of look at the percentages in terms of |
0:53.6 | probabilities for the |
0:54.5 | next couple Fed meetings, there's now baked in an 85% chance of no cut in May. So basically |
1:00.6 | hold the course for the next few months. But then in June, you get to the point where there's a 73% |
1:05.9 | chance that rates will be lower by the end of that meeting, only a 27% chance of no cuts. |
1:11.0 | So the market is coming to a consensus that June is going to be the next rate cut. |
1:15.3 | And then as we look further down, there's now only a 2% chance that there won't be a cut at all this year. |
1:22.6 | A month ago, that chance was at 16. |
1:24.6 | So you see people coming to the conclusion that there's going to have to |
1:28.6 | be some rate cuts during this year, like I said, probably in June, as the Fed starts to take |
... |
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