meta_pixel
Tapesearch Logo
Wall Street Breakfast

Tests for transitory inflation and AI IPOs

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business, Investing, Business News, News

3.8950 Ratings

🗓️ 23 March 2025

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Fed's favorite inflation measure is seen ticking up. (0:17) CoreWeave IPO will gauge AI trade demand. (1:55) GameStop earnings on tap. (2:48)

Show Notes
Stocks that weather downturns the best
Earnings Calendar
Dividend Roundup

Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb
Sign up for our daily newsletter here and for full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores, dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street brunch, our Sunday look ahead to this week's market-moving events, along with the weekend's top news and analysis.

0:14.2

Hello, today is Sunday, March 23rd, and I'm your host, Kim Kahn.

0:18.0

Investors will be looking through a new lens at the latest income and spending

0:20.9

figures out at the end of the week. Last week, Fed Chairman Jay Powell said, tempting fate,

0:25.9

some would say, that inflation from tariffs would likely be transitory. On Friday, the Fed's

0:30.8

favorite inflation gauge, the Core PCE Price Index, arise along with the personal spending

0:35.5

and income report. Wells Fargo economists say,

0:38.7

inflation remains a big hurdle for consumers, and we forecast some sticky price pressers in the

0:43.2

February data, which should keep the headline deflator at 2.5 percent and nudge the core deflator,

0:48.8

or PCE, up a 10th to 2.7 percent. But even if the inflation measure comes in hot, traders could give it a pass,

0:55.8

assuming that the Fed is already pricing in a tariff boost to prices. The March summary

1:00.0

of economic projections showed forecasts for Core PCE at 2.8% for this year, up from 2.5% forecast

1:07.1

in December. Markets are still pricing in a quarter point rate cut in June and are

1:11.5

split between two and three cuts for the year. So if inflation is losing the wow factor,

1:16.5

the attention will likely turn to growth. February durable goods orders arrive Wednesday,

1:21.0

with a 1% decline expected in headline and a 0.2% rise in core orders X transportation.

1:26.8

Orders shot up in January, and for a manufacturing sector beset by more bad news than

1:31.2

good in the past few years, purchasing managers wonder if this is promises of what

1:35.5

seemed to be or a genuine uptake in activity, Wells Fargo's team said.

1:40.0

Core Capital Goods orders have shown some signs of life more recently, suggesting a more

1:44.4

sustained, albeit slower rebound in activity. It's hard to see conditions overly supportive

1:48.9

of a broad and sustained recovery and capex spending, though, amid elevated uncertainty and still

...

Transcript will be available on the free plan in -4 days. Upgrade to see the full transcript now.

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Seeking Alpha, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of Seeking Alpha and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.

Copyright © Tapesearch 2025.