As a pollster, it is so impossible to narrow it down to one data point.

It's almost cruel and unusual on your part to even ask. Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast, I'm Galen Trook.

Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast podcast I'm Galen Druk.

It has been 1,451 days since the last presidential election and in that time there's been an attack by Trump supporters on the

Capitol, a botched withdrawal from a 20-year war, the end of Roe v. Wade, decades high levels of inflation, a growing crisis at the border, war in Europe and the Middle East,

multiple assassination attempts, and the decision of the incumbent president to withdraw from the campaign.

Now, in 11 days, Americans will select a president for the first time since all of that happened.

I say all of that, not to to rewrite we didn't start the fire for

2024 but to say this a lot has happened to scramble Americans perceptions of

their country and their leadership and today we have a lot of data to tell that story, maybe too much data,

especially right now as high profile final days polling begins to pile up.

So today we've assembled a crew of election data nerds.

I hope no one minds being called that and we ask them what they're looking at.

Specifically, we ask them to choose one data point that they think is the most valuable for understanding the election in these final

angsty days before November 5th.

Okay, let's get started. We've talked a lot about changes in voting patterns amongst different demographic groups,

in particular how black and Hispanic voters might be cooling on Democrats.

But there's another group that Democrats are increasingly

concerned about and that group is the focus of our first data point and it comes

from Republican pollster Adam Geller. If I had to boil it down to one data point, I'm going to look at Gen Z voters, and I'm really

specifically going to look at male Gen Z voters, otherwise known as Trump

Brose.

...