So can I just tell you Galen when they emailed and they're like this is what our

podcast is and I was like Gail and Drew is like just under Taylor Swift for me.

Oh my God! I love your show.

Whoa! Whoa! I'm like gonna fall backwards out of my chair. Hello and

today I'm coming to the 538 Politics Podcast I'm Geland Druke and today I'm coming to you from Manchester, New Hampshire, where in just a matter of days,

voters will head to the polls to cast their ballots in the first primary contest in the nation.

New Hampshire, of course, gets that distinction because Iowa uses a

caucus system. According to our polling average Donald Trump currently

leads in the state with 46% support.

Nicki Haley follows with 33% and Ron DeSantis trails significantly with 5%.

That 13-point gap between Trump and Haley

makes the contest here the most competitive in the country.

This is of course all relative.

It's still a double-digit lead.

But support in primaries can be volatile and polling error is historically

larger than in general elections.

So we're going to talk about it all.

There's also a little drama on the Democratic side of things.

The Democratic National Committee changed its primary calendar order this year to put South Carolina

first. New Hampshire was not on board. It even has written into its state constitution that

it must hold the first primary in the nation.

As a result, Biden is not on the ballot here and no delegates will be awarded.

...