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In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

Vinod Khosla: Future Trends and the Power of the Improbable

In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

Norges Bank Investment Management

In Good Company, Business, Norges Bank, Nicolai Tangen

4.8186 Ratings

🗓️ 23 October 2024

⏱️ 45 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Why is the improbable so important? Will robots replace human labor? And how will AI change the science of medicine? In this episode of In Good Company, Nicolai sits down with one of the most successful entrepreneurs and venture capital investors of all time, Vinod Khosla. Co-founder of Sun Microsystems and founder of Khosla Ventures, Vinod shares his thoughts on investing in transformative technologies, the importance of taking bold risks, and the power of focusing on what seems improbable. Tune in to hear Vinod's philosophy on the future of robotics, clean energy artificial intelligence and more.

In Good Company is hosted by Nicolai Tangen, CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management. New episode out every Wednesday.



The production team for this episode includes PLAN-B's Pål Huuse and Niklas Figenschau Johansen. Background research was conducted by Une Solheim.




Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hi everybody. Today we are in really good company with one of the most successful entrepreneurs and venture capital investors over time. Vinod Kosla.

0:09.9

Vinod co-founded Sun Microsystems back in 1982 and Kozla Ventures in 2004.

0:16.8

And Kozla Ventures is making money in, whilst also doing good stuff for society.

0:22.8

So, warm welcome, Enod.

0:24.8

Great to be here.

0:35.0

You say that it is only the improbable which is important.

0:40.4

What do you mean by that?

0:42.3

You know, most in this goes immediately into my views on expert opinion.

0:50.2

It's very good at predicting the, an extrapolation of the past as opposed to a new kind of vision for the future.

0:59.9

So when you look at forecasts and predictions, only time they're important if the world changes,

1:10.5

if the weather changes from today to tomorrow.

1:13.6

But if you look at expert opinion, when Russia invaded Ukraine, experts were, this will be over in two days.

1:24.6

The same is true of almost all large changes.

1:30.5

Then the experts revised their forecast to exploit the past.

1:37.0

It's entrepreneurs specifically who invent the future they want and create unlikely scenarios.

1:51.6

Studies like Ukraine, I cite, are when the Department of Energy in the United States forecast the number of electric cars in the U.S.

1:55.0

In 2010, they made a 25-year-later forecast for 2025, and Elon Musk and Tesla exceeded that forecast in 2016.

2:07.1

So, on those trying to make a different future their vision happen is what drives change,

2:15.0

and they're improbable in that sense.

2:17.4

How do you identify these situations where

2:20.6

experts are totally wrong? I think it's very hard to identify precisely these situations. When we

2:30.9

invested in Open AI in 2018, is when we made the commitment to invest, it was hard to say

...

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