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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Will 2024 Be A Disputed Election?

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

Politics, News

4.620.5K Ratings

🗓️ 30 October 2024

⏱️ 36 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Looking back on the 2020 election, the time between Election Day and Inauguration Day stands out as one of the most fraught and uncertain in recent American history. Will 2024 follow a similar path? In this episode of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen talks with Larry Norden, vice president of the Elections and Government Program at the Brennan Center, to provide a clearer picture of what we might expect after Election Day. They discuss when results could be expected, the types of misinformation that may circulate after the votes are cast, and why this election is seeing more litigation than any before it. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:30.0

There were 35 people who are responsible for certifying elections at the local level over the past few years who refused to do so

0:36.2

Even that in a way has made us more resilient because frankly states attorneys general

0:42.4

Secretaries of state have gotten a lot of practice of going to court and

0:45.7

forcing them to certify the election results. So they are way more prepared for that than they would have been in

0:50.5

2020. Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast, I'm Galen Druk.

1:04.6

By this time next week, we may know the results of the 2024 presidential election, but

1:10.1

there's also a fair chance that we won't.

1:13.2

Thinking back four years ago, the weeks between election day

1:16.5

and inauguration were one of the most contentious

1:19.3

and uncertain periods in recent American history.

1:22.8

To start, it took four days to project the winner.

1:25.7

That was because of a close race in key states, an influx of mail ballots that took longer

1:30.4

to count, and news organizations generally restrained approach to projecting

1:35.3

states while ballots are being tallied.

1:38.2

Hold-ups, slow results, litigation, recounts, and audits can be expected in elections, especially close ones.

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