Oh, you're trying to go cold open?

I would have been snappier.

You want me snappier?

I can do that.

You want me to do it on exit polls?

I could do that.

If you had to describe exit polls in a sentence or less, how would you describe exit polls?

Poles.

But don't we love polls?

Okay. But don't we love polls? Hello and welcome to the 538 politics podcast.

I'm Galen Drook and the quest to sort through all of the data that the 2024 election bestowed on us continues.

You've probably heard me say at some point on this

podcast that the racial or ethnic group that swung the most between 2016 and 2020 was Latino

voters, eight points to the right, according to the research firm Catalyst. It looks like Latino

voters may well take that distinction again, with another big shift to the right. According to the

exit polls, Trump increased his vote share amongst Latinos by 14 points this time around. According to

the AP vote cast, it was eight points. It'll be a minute before we get post-election research that

suggests which is closer to the truth.

But either way, it's a big swing.

And the geographic election data backs it up.

According to the New York Times analysis, the 86 Hispanic majority counties that they looked at were 13 points more Republican than in 2020.

And the shifts in some of the counties in South Florida and the Rio Grande Valley

...