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Ruth, how are you feeling?

You know, I have walking pneumonia as to both of my children, but I actually feel fine.

It just sound like garbage, which is just the election talking.

What you're telling me is that this is more of a walking pneumonia open than a cold open.

Hello and welcome to the 538 politics podcast. I'm Gailen Druk. Voters went into the 2024 election feeling like the stakes were high. Inflation, the border, abortion access,

democratic norms were all on the ballot. And we know how that netted out. But

2024 was a high-stakes election for another group of people, pollsters. After a high-profile,

though not historically large miss in 2016 and then a historically large miss in 2020,

trust in polling has been on the decline, and it's no

secret that low response rates to polls have become a real challenge. A big miss for a third

presidential election in a row might have been something of a nail in the coffin for election

polling. But that was not to be. The polls, on average, had their most accurate year

on record in 2024, a 2.7 percentage point miss nationally, and just a 2% percent point miss

in the battleground states. The average polling miss over the past quarter century has been

four percentage points, so a significant overperformance

...