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FiveThirtyEight Politics

The First Polls Since Trump’s Guilty Verdict Are In

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

Politics, News

4.620.5K Ratings

🗓️ 3 June 2024

⏱️ 45 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

It's been four days since former President Donald Trump’s guilty verdict in the Manhattan criminal case, and the early indication from the polls is that there has been a small shift away from Trump in head-to-head polling with President Joe Biden. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we talk about the latest data and whether we expect that shift to endure. We are also now officially on Supreme Court decision watch, with cases surrounding Jan. 6, the Second Amendment and abortion medication regulations yet to be decided. To prepare for those coming opinions, we play a game of “Guess What Americans Think: Supreme Court Edition.” Do Americans approve of the current court? And do they think it will deliver an unbiased decision on Trump’s presidential immunity case? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Elliot, I think you should know that in case I am particularly hangry on the podcast today, it is because I am fasting in preparation for a colonoscopy.

0:12.4

Colorectal cancer is one of the most common types. preparation for a colonoscopy.

0:12.6

Colorectal cancer is one of the most common times for young people now,

0:15.9

so it's good that you're taking care of yourself. Hello and welcome to the 530 politics podcast I'm Gailin Drew.

0:30.9

We are four days out from former President Trump's guilty verdict in the Manhattan

0:35.2

criminal case and yes dear listener we do have polls. The early indication is a small

0:41.6

but noticeable shift away from Trump in head-to-head

0:45.0

polling with President Biden. So who is shifting, is it durable, we're going to

0:49.6

talk about it. Also Mexico elected a new president over the weekend.

0:54.0

Claudia Shinebaum got nearly 60% of the vote and will be the first woman and first Jewish president of Mexico.

1:01.0

Plus, happy June. We are now officially on Supreme Court decision watch with cases surrounding January 6th, the Second Amendment,

1:08.3

and abortion medication regulations yet to be decided.

1:12.2

To prepare for those coming opinions, we're going to play a game of guess what Americans

1:16.1

think, Supreme Court Edition.

1:18.8

Do Americans approve of the current court?

1:21.5

Do they think it will deliver an unbiased decision on

1:24.1

Trump's presidential immunity case? Stick around and find out, but we're going to

1:28.3

begin with the latest polls and hear me to discuss is director of Data

1:32.0

Analytics. Elliot Morris, welcome Elliot, how's it going? and here with me to discuss is director of data analytics.

1:32.7

Elliot Morris, welcome Elliot, how's it going?

1:34.8

Hey, Galen, happy Monday, Monday?

1:38.0

Happy Monday, Gailen.

...

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