4.6 • 20.5K Ratings
🗓️ 14 October 2024
⏱️ 33 minutes
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0:00.0 | I was just thinking back on voting during hurricanes. My polling place got moved in 2012 because my polling place was flooded due to Hurricane Sandy. |
0:10.0 | I ended up voting in an elementary school or something like that in line behind |
0:16.0 | Louis C. K and his two daughters. I have relatives that work at that elementary school. |
0:20.8 | Really? I'm not kidding. It's such a small world we're all coming together. |
0:25.8 | Such a small world of Northeastern media elites. Yeah, wow. Hello and we are three weeks away from Election Day and the race could |
0:46.2 | hardly be closer according to the polls. |
0:49.0 | According to 538's averages, every single battleground state is separated by less than a point except for Arizona |
0:55.2 | where Trump leads by two points. If you are one of the millions of people who looks to the |
0:59.4 | polls for a sense of who will win the presidential election? Well, you're looking at one big |
1:04.6 | shruggy emoji and that's we're going to kick things off today which is with the |
1:08.4 | current state of the race and we've also got a good or bad use of polling for you. It's a nerdy but important one. |
1:15.8 | This cycle pollsters have increasingly been using respondents past vote data to get a read on the electorate. |
1:23.1 | In other words, they ask voters who they cast a ballot for |
1:26.4 | in the last election and wait the sample that they get |
1:29.6 | to make sure they have enough Trump and Biden voters from 2020. That may sound like a good way to avoid |
1:36.1 | under counting Trump voters yet again, but it comes with its own perils. And we're going to look at the |
1:42.3 | political reaction to back to back hurricanes |
1:44.6 | in the southeast. And we'll also ask what it means that Trump is hitting |
1:48.8 | significantly more campaign stops than Harris. Here with me to discuss it all is senior |
1:54.1 | election analyst Nathaniel Raykich. Welcome to the podcast Nathaniel. |
1:56.6 | Hey Galen! Also here with us is New York Times polling editor Ruth |
2:00.8 | Agellnick. Ruth, you've been turning out those polls lately. |
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